Zurich Axioms

最近又翻了一下蘇黎世投機定律 (ISBN: 957-8457-20-0)，感覺真的很好，甚至影響我的生活。舉例來說：

Axiom 4：人類行為無法預測。因此，我只能多看證據，多聽聲音，少聽別人對市場的評論，這樣才有「可能」做出正確的判斷。

Axiom 3：船沉了不要祈禱，趕快跳船。判斷錯誤怎麼辦？市場很殘忍的，他不會可憐任何一個人，但他會說：「船要沉嘍～」要不要跳船，market doesn't care。發生突發狀況，不知道該怎麼辦，這個時候千萬不要停止思考，不要什麼事都不做只會發呆祈禱。要不斷的想，一有錯就立刻改 (Axiom 6)，就這麼簡單，這樣才能做的長久。

下面是 Zurich Axioms 摘要，大家可以參考一下：

Major Axiom 1 :- On Risk
Worry is not a sickness but a sign of health. If you are not worried, you are not risking enough.

Major Axiom 2 :- On Greed
Always take your profit too soon.

Major Axiom 3 :- On Hope
When the ship starts to sink, don’t pray. Jump.

Major Axiom 4 :- On Forecasts
Human behavior cannot be predicted. Distrust anyone who claims to know the future, however dimly.

Major Axiom 5 :- On Patterns - The Emperor Axiom
Chaos is not dangerous until it begins to look orderly.

Major Axiom 6 :- On Mobility
Avoid putting down roots. They impede motion.

Major Axiom 7 :- On Intuition
A hunch can be trusted if it can be explained.

Major Axiom 8 :- On Religion and the Occult
It is unlikely that god’s plan for the universe includes making you rich.

Major Axiom 9 :- On Optimism & Pessimism
Optimism means expecting the best, but confidence means knowing how you will handle the worst. Never make a move if you are merely optimistic.

Major Axiom 10 :- On Consensus
Disregard the majority opinion. It is probably wrong.

Major Axiom 11 :- On Stubbornness
If it doesn’t pay off the first time forget it.

Major Axiom 12 :- On Planning
Long-range plans engender the dangerous belief that the future is under control. It is important never to take your own long-range plans, or other people’s, too seriously.